Minggu, 30 Januari 2011

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Risk Analysis and Human Behavior (Earthscan Risk in Society), by Baruch Fischhoff

The articles collected here are foundational contributions to integrating behavioural research and risk analysis. They include seminal articles on three essential challenges. One is ensuring effective two-way communication between technical experts and the lay public, so that risk analyses address lay concerns and provide useful information to people who need it. The second is ensuring that analyses make realistic assumptions about human behaviours that affect risk levels (e.g., how people use pharmaceuticals, operate equipment, or respond to evacuation orders). The third is ensuring that analyses recognize the strengths and weaknesses of experts’ understanding, using experts’ knowledge, while understanding its limits. The articles include overviews of the science, essays on the role of risk in society, and applications to domains as diverse as environment, medicine, terrorism, human rights, chemicals, pandemics, vaccination, HIV/AIDS, xenotransplantation, sexual assault, energy, and climate change. The work involves collaborations among scientists from many disciplines, working with practitioners to produce and convey the knowledge needed help people make better risk decisions.

  • Sales Rank: #865124 in Books
  • Published on: 2012-02-10
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.10" h x 1.00" w x 6.00" l, 1.40 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 432 pages

About the Author

Baruch Fischhoff is Howard Heinz University Professor, Carnegie Mellon University, US, Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Department of Engineering and Public Policy.

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Outdated reprints and sparsely supported editorials
By James
Risk Analysis and Human Behavior is a collection of 1) reprinted manuscripts dating as far back as 1981, 2) more recent research unlikely to be published in a peer-reviewed journal, and 3) editorials filled with opinionated statements. Dr. Fischhoff's editorials are insightful, but support and references are sparse, with one or two references provided to support one or two dozen opinions.

In summary, this book reads as a collection of materials not up to snuff for current peer-review publication. it reads as a collection of second rate leftover publications from a first rate scientist. If you are interested or work in the field of risk perception or communication, I would recommend acquiring a copy from local library for a quick read through.

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How to Win at Everything: Even Things You Can't or Shouldn't Try to Win At, by Daniel Kibblesmith, Sam Weiner

Nobody wants to be a loser. With this revolutionary new handbook, readers will learn how to win at literally everything*—even things that aren't contests, and that you can't or shouldn't try to win at, such as dreaming, apologizing, and talking on the phone with your mom. Crucial illustrated advice and instruction guides would-be winners through activities including bird-watching (start by spotting common species like pigeons, or dogs), job interviews (maintain eye contact: very smart people do not need to blink), and many more scenarios for success. In sharing their hard-won knowledge, the authors—noted experts at this sort of thing—help readers become the future winners they were meant to be.

*actually, more like dozens of things

  • Sales Rank: #1035853 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2013-11-12
  • Released on: 2013-11-12
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review
"This charming little how-to guide by Chicago-based comedy writers Kibblesmith and Weiner makes a great gift for the clueless and unaccomplished friends in your life (let's face it, you have plenty of those!). Before you have the chance to gift-wrap it for them, it's worth thumbing through yourself. "
-Flavorwire

About the Author
Daniel Kibblesmith has written for the Onion News Network and Splitsider, produced video for Funny or Die and The Best Show on WFMU, and appeared on Bravo's Millionaire Matchmaker. He lives in Chicago.

Sam Weiner is a staff writer for the Onion News Network. His work has appeared in McSweeney's, Splitsider, on NPR's Marketplace, and on stage at Chicago's Annoyance Theatre. He lives in Chicago.

Most helpful customer reviews

25 of 26 people found the following review helpful.
Refuse to Lose
By adam rubin
After reading this book I have come to dominate my friends, companions and enemies in all aspects of life. I high-five strangers in elevators, beautiful women glance at me cautiously as I shout at them from across the street, and best of all, my life-long nemesis was brutally murdered by wild hogs. Highly recommended.

11 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
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Until purchasing this book, I didn't realize just how far away I was from winning at everyday activities such as reading and faking my own death. Now, I'm starting to win things just by virtue of being in the room. Thanks, guys!

13 of 15 people found the following review helpful.
Sharp, delightful satire that doesn't outlast it's welcome
By BETAMAX SUPLEX
How to Win at Everything provides a much needed lambasting of the deluded world of Tony Robbins style hucksters selling snake oil to a culture of gullible marks. The two star review of the poor soul who bought this book expecting easy answers is testament to how deeply self help culture has seeped into every inch of the cultural landscape. The humor is breezy and absurd but the harbors just enough anger in it's heart to feel potent. HtWaE joins the hallowed ranks of The Onion books, John Hodgman, and Jack Handey by achieving the rare feat of delivering fast paced laughs while always feeling substantive.

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Jumat, 28 Januari 2011

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Will be shipped from US. Brand new copy.

  • Sales Rank: #3965762 in Books
  • Published on: 1800
  • Binding: Spiral-bound

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Kamis, 27 Januari 2011

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Love Can Build A Bridge, by John Jarvis, Naomi Judd, Paul Overstreet, The Judds

Digital Sheet Music of Love Can Build A Bridge

Composed by: John Jarvis;Naomi Judd;Paul Overstreet

Performed by: The Judds

  • Sales Rank: #1678201 in eBooks
  • Released on: 2013-04-25
  • Format: Kindle eBook

From Publishers Weekly
Judd, the elder half of country music's superstar mother-daughter duo The Judds, spins the lyrics of their hit song into a sentimental picture book about the ripple effect of love and good deeds. Each verse/ stanza speaks of making sacrifices in the name of love ("I'd gladly walk across the desert with no shoes upon my feet./ To share with you the last bite/ of bread I had to eat"); meanwhile, Duranceau (Follow the Moon) depicts pairs of multiracial children performing various kindnesses for each other. A girl shares her sandwich with a boy; that boy helps another boy who has fallen on the playground; the second boy visits a friend in the hospital, and so on. The chain of events shown in Duranceau's creamy, lifelike portraits captures Judd's theme: "Love can build a bridge/ between your heart and mine,/ Love can build a bridge./ Don't you think it's time?" Confusingly, one spread appears to break the continuous link between the children to begin a new succession of kid-to-kid encounters. Judd's call for harmony, respect and responsibility is inarguably worthwhile. That said, Judd's foreword, in which she describes "hunkering down" with her dog to watch a homeless man sleeping on a bench (and never offering him help) is an uncomfortable fit with her text. An audiocassette recording of the song is included. All ages.
Copyright 1999 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From School Library Journal
PreSchool-Grade 2A glossy, commercial production of a song by the popular country-music star. The message is clear and the illustrations suggest ways that a person might help someone else. In the full-color paintings, one child fixes the others bike wheel, another tends to a friends scraped elbow. The closing spread shows the children, hand in hand, standing together midair to form a bridge. The lyrics are repeated on the last page. The multiethnic, tirelessly cheerful, clean youngsters look stiff and posed. The hope for a peaceful world and love for all is an admirable one, but here its been packaged for sale, not interwoven within a real story. The song might be a favorite with Judds fans, but it does not translate effectively into a picture book.Jane Marino, Scarsdale Public Library, NY
Copyright 1999 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Library Journal
In this memoir Naomi, the mother of the popular mother-daughter country music duo The Judds, tells her life story. Ken Stilts, her long-time manager, describes Naomi's life as "part Greek tragedy, part soap opera," and he's at least half right. This account in no way approaches the literary quality of even the worst Greek tragedy, but the term soap opera is an apt one. While most autobiographical works are built upon events that are unique and significant, Judd's life story comes across as a rehash of every soap opera ever produced. Mired in unnecessary detail and an overabundance of cliches, this book will probably disappoint even the Judds' most ardent fans. Purchase only according to demand.
- Joanna M. Thompson, Bluefield State Coll., W.Va.
Copyright 1994 Reed Business Information, Inc.

Most helpful customer reviews

17 of 17 people found the following review helpful.
WITTY JUDD-ESQUE FICTION
By A Customer
In light of recent revelations about the misrepresentations and inaccuracies of specific facts and details in LOVE CAN BUILD A BRIDGE, all I can surmise about this work is that it is a great FICTIONAL STORY, based on a true story, but highly manipulated and manicured to put NAOMI JUDD in a flattering light. Creative, witty, and highly imaginative, Naomi Judd is no doubt a talented writer...of fiction. Take the content of this book with a grain of salt.

6 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
Drama Queens (AKA: The Judds)
By A Customer
Drama Queens!!! Wow!!! A fascinating story, but maybe more "story" than "truth", eh? In any case, a good read. Fast, compelling, and lively. A plot twist on every page. The television mini-series didn't live up to the book. Would have been better as a Big Screen Movie. Two thumbs up!!

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Miss Naomi struck "the matter of the heart", as usual.
By A Customer
For many years I had the pleasure and the responsibility of teaching future teachers and librarians the genre of Literature for Children, pre-school-grade 3 and juvenile literature, both graduate and undergraduate courses. Based on that background, my adjudication of Miss Naomi's book is 5 star. First, the song itself is an established winner. The art work is the bold, graphic-type that children of that age group prefer. Studies have shown that to be so. The tape then presents Miss Wynonna and Miss Naomi doing what the world so loves. That, too, is a proven fact. Finally, the type font and size also meet the children's preferences. The studies have shown that as well. So, Miss Naomi has scored another winner. I bought it for my own grandchildren. Obviously, I like the book.

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Kamis, 20 Januari 2011

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  • Sales Rank: #973734 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2016-08-08
  • Released on: 2016-08-08
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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Minggu, 16 Januari 2011

[P521.Ebook] PDF Ebook Proslogion: including Gaunilo Objections and Anselm's Replies, by St. Anselm, Matthew D. Walz

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Proslogion: including Gaunilo Objections and Anselm's Replies, by St. Anselm, Matthew D. Walz

Written for his brother Benedictine monks around 1077, Anselm’s Proslogion is perhaps the best-known partially-read book of the Middle Ages. Many readers are familiar only with Anselm’s well-known argument for God’s existence in Chapters 2–4, which is often called the “ontological argument,” a misleading appellation coined centuries later by Immanuel Kant. In this argument Anselm begins with the thought of “something than which nothing greater is able to be thought,” and subsequently he leads the reader to see that such a reality necessarily exists and cannot be thought not to be. This argument – which is, to be sure, crucial to the work – constitutes but a small portion of the whole. Preceding it is a profound but oft-overlooked opening chapter in which Anselm contemplates his all-too-human condition and disposes the reader to receive aptly his argument for God’s existence in the next three chapters. And following this argument are 20 chapters in which Anselm artfully unfolds the depth and breadth of God’s true existence as that than which nothing greater is able to be thought, showing God to be (among other things) able-to-sense, pity-hearted, just, good, and uncircumscribed. Indeed, if the reader is willing to give himself over to the work as whole, he will be compelled, under Anselm’s deft guidance, to “endeavor to straighten up his mind toward contemplating God,” which is how Anselm describes his own role in the work in his prefatory remarks.
    This edition provides a faithful yet readable English rendering of the whole Proslogion, the objections raised to Anselm’s argument by his contemporary Gaunilo, and Anselm’s replies to those objections. (After responding to Gaunilo, Anselm himself requested that these objections and replies be included in subsequent editions of the Proslogion.) This edition also includes an introduction that contextualizes the Proslogion within the monastic, pre-Scholastic age in which it first made its appearance.  In addition, by means of notes and commentary, this edition articulates how to contextualize Anselm’s famous argument in the Proslogion as a whole and in light of his replies to Gaunilo, how to appreciate the artistry whereby Anselm knit the Proslogion together into a coherent and concise unity, and how the work may be taught effectively to interested students. These features set this affordable English edition of the Proslogion apart from those currently available, which too often fail to capture accurately the beauty of Anselm’s prose, which often treat the work through the lens of either later Scholasticism or contemporary analytic philosophy of religion, and which take little note of the craftsmanship whereby Anselm constructed this masterfully integrated work that is remembered too often for too few of its 24 chapters.
 

  • Sales Rank: #837341 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-04-15
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x .40" w x 6.00" l, .30 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 80 pages

About the Author

 

Matthew Walz has taught in the interdisciplinary program at Thomas Aquinas College in California, and since 2008 he has been a professor in the Philosophy Department of the University of Dallas.

 

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Best Suited to Academia
By James G. Bruen Jr.
The "recognizable structure of reasoning" that "emerges" in the Proslogion "can be called a 'pattern of erotic thinking,'" says Matthew Walz in the Introduction, quoting himself. Moreover, he says, the Proslogion "is an essentially zetetic work." If you are able to understand these statements without more, then this book is for you. The book and St. Anselm's work are not an easy read. Indeed, Walz says he "prioritize[d]" "literalness" over "easy readability" when translating,

Even the Proslogion's idea of God as "something than which nothing greater is able to be thought" is quite a mouthful. Walz insists that Anselm's work should be read and understood from the vantage point of monasticism and the time before and at which it was written rather than through the eyes of later scholasticism or Kantian spectacles with the lens of the "ontological argument." In this insistence, the book is at its best, and Walz is convincing.

The text of the book is set in a small font; the endnotes, which can be quite lengthy, are even smaller. Walz translated from Latin and he includes a key to how he translated certain words. In his Introduction he explains some of his unconventional translations.

This book is probably best suited to academia.

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Jumat, 14 Januari 2011

[A784.Ebook] Ebook Download Maritime Economics: Management and Marketing, by Alan Branch

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Maritime Economics: Management and Marketing, by Alan Branch

Now in its second edition Maritime Economics provides a valuable introduction to the organisation and workings of the global shipping industry. The author outlines the economic theory as well as many of the operational practicalities involved.
Extensively revised for the new edition, the book has many clear illustrations and tables. Topics covered include:
* an overview of international trade
* Maritime Law
* economic organisation and principles
* financing ships and shipping companies
* market research and forecasting.

  • Sales Rank: #5137935 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Routledge
  • Published on: 1998-08-05
  • Released on: 1998-08-03
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.50" h x 1.11" w x 5.50" l, 1.24 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 592 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent introduction to the topic
By Yoda
This book provides an excellent introduction to the "macro" issues surrounding the shipping trade. Perspective is provided on the growth of volume of trade over time, geographic areas the ship construction business and financing in this field (among many other areas). The book does not, however, prvoide (nor is it intended) a "micro" analysis as to how business is conducted on a day-to-day basis (i.e., bunkering, role of different crew members, role of agents, etc.). For an excellent introduction to this one should instead refer to "The Business of Shipping"

Books weaknesses are:

a) Dated information. This most important weakness by far. Nearly all data/information, most of which the author collected and/or tabulated himself (and in many cases developed himself) is from the early 1990s and the late 1980s. Immense changes resulting from seaborne trading patterns due to China's and emergin nation's economic integration into the global economy are hence not discussed in the book. This is desprite the fact taht these chages are probably the most radical to maritime trade since the end of WWII.

This problem will hopefully be remedied in the new edition of the book which is to be released January 2009.

b) Little discussion regarding the market for crews. This is despite the fact that the author himself expllicitely states this is a critical bottleneck for the industry. A chapter (or at least a few pages instead of a sentence or two) adressing this aspect of the business is needed.

Update:

A new Third Edition of this book has recently been published that updates most of the information contained in the 2nd ed. Althouth about $20 more expensive, this updated information, along with other improvements (i.e., expanded chapters, very detailed cost-breakdown information on a variety of different types of vessels, etc.- for more details see my review of the third edition) make this extra $20 a worth while investment.

23 of 23 people found the following review helpful.
One of THE best if not THE best book on Maritime Economics from a Macro perspective
By Yoda
This book provides an excellent macro economic view of the shipping tranportation business. The reason is the author's authoritative knowledge of the field. He has has over 30 years of experience in the field in both the private sector (as an Economist specializing in the field with Chase Manhattan Bank, Chief Executive of Lloyd's Maritme Information Services, Directof of Business Development with British Shipbuilders and an Executive Director of Clarkson's PLC) and academia (as a Professor at Cass Business School, the Cambridge Academy of Transport, Dalian Maritime University and Copenhage Business School).

The book starts out with a historical overview of the shipping industry (lengthier than the 2nd edition of this book) then presents chapters on the organization of the shipping market, shipping market cycles, shipping markets by different categories of vessel (and the cargoes they handle), financial flows, industry financing and insurance, risk, geographic markets, the markets for ships (both new and second hand) as well as for vessels for scrapping, and legal and regulatory structures. All of these are covered very well and provide an excellent overview through 2007 (i.e., just before the shipping bust of 2008). It should be stressed that the book is intended to provide a macro view of the industry as opposed to a micro view (i.e., discussing how vessels are run on a day to day basis). For a good overview of how ships are run on a day to day basis Kendall's "The Business of Shipping" is highly recommended. That book gives an excellent overview of bunkering, how cargoes are handled, manifests, etc. Hence it is an excellent supplement to Stopford's Maritime Economics. Last but not least, Maritime Economics presents many facts that are very difficult to research and find data on as data sources in the shipping industry, unlike most industries, is not that readily available. This is due to the fact that the industry is characterized by privately held companies. Examples of such research includes tables showing breakdowns of vessel costs by labor, fuel, capital costs, etc., depreciation tables, etc. Much of this data is for particular classes of vessel (i.e., panamax cargo vessels, cape tankers, etc.). This information is very difficult to find elsewhere without an large expenditure of money for purchase.

The 2nd Ed. of Maritime Economics (as of October 2009) is still in print and is being sold at about $20 less than this edition. Despite the price differential the 3rd edition is still worth the money. This is so for a number of reasons. One (and the most important) is the fact that it contains data through 2007 (as opposed to the last that only goes through the mid-1990s). In addition, the chapters are expanded over the previous editions and many of the factual tables referred to above (i.e., on cost breakdowns and depreciation schedules) are not available in the previous edition. The extra $20 is well worth any of these. The only weakness of the book is that it is particularly weak with respect to the labour market in this industry.

All and all this book is an excellent introduction to the industry as well as a veritable treasure chest of information, even for those with considerable knowledge in the industry. As a result it is highly recommended for both the student and those with some knowledge of the industry (though, obviously, the former would find it much more beneficial).

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Only for higher education technical use. Not for entry level folks
By J. R. Blaze
Excellent technical reference for me as a transport economist. I have 40 years industry experience. To me, valuable addition to my library

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In questo ebook troverai :


- Principio uscite multiple
- Lettura della mente col principio "un passo avanti"
- Lettura della mente unghia scrivente
- Forzature
- Rivelazione carta che appare sulla pelle
- Lettura muscolare col pendolo radiestesico
- Carte Zener e lettura del suono
- Un incredibile metodo per eseguire una lettura del pensiero
- Memorizzare l'ordine di un mazzo intero mischiato dallo spettatore e rivelare una carta alla posizione indicata dallo spettatore
- Duplice realtà
- Leggere la mente da segnali visivi
- Rivelazione del PIN di una carta di credito sconosciuta
- Suggestioni subliminali, metodi psicologici
- Book test
- Scoprire in quale mano è nascosta una moneta,con trucchi e con metodi psicologici
- Forzatura Pateo
- Scelta magica
- Uno spettatore pensa a qualcosa, il mentalista chiama un amico sensitivo e lo passa allo spettatore al quale verrà rivelato il suo pensiero
- Una persona tra diverse tocca un oggetto senza che il mentalista lo veda, il mentalista riesce comunque a scoprire chi ha toccato l'oggetto
- Bere sincronizzato
- Compari improvvisati
- Tocco psicocinetico (3 metodi) puoi toccare una persona a distanza
- Fermare battito cardiaco
- Mazzo invisibile
- Mazzo SI Stebbins
- Mazzo Svengali
- Carta carbone
- Peek wallet - portafoglio per mentalisti
- Metodi televisivi, preshow,compari, ipnosi
- Piegatura metalli, chiavi, cucchiai, forchette, diversi metodi
- Cold reading - script pratico pronto all'uso
- Pseudo ipnosi
- Ipnosi,cos'è l'ipnosi, induzione ipnotica, mano incollata al tavolo, amnesia del nome
- Berglas Effect - versione improvvisata
- Bonus - effetto inedito, il mentalista entra sul palco portando una scatola che ripone su un tavolino in vista agli spettatori.
Invita uno spettatore sul palo e gli chiede di pensare qualcosa.
Lo spettatore apre la scatola sul tavolino mai toccata dal mentalista e vi trova dentro la predizione esatta di ciò che ha pensato.



  • Sales Rank: #1140581 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2012-03-22
  • Released on: 2012-03-22
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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Selasa, 11 Januari 2011

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  • Sales Rank: #7348754 in Books
  • Published on: 2003-05-03
  • Binding: Paperback

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[R461.Ebook] Free PDF A History of Marshall The Illustrated Story Of The Sound Of Rock, by Michael Doyle

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Marshall amps have defined the sound of rock for a generation, boasting such notable users as Jimi Hendrix, Eric Clapton, Jeff Beck, Ritchie Blackmore and Jimmy Page. This book explores the British company responsible for that sweet overdrive sound - the company that originated the amp "stack" - tracing the impressive lineage of its valve ("tube" to us Yanks!) guitar amps. Doyle is the acknowledged authority on the subject, and here he combines detailed chronologies of the various model and serial numbers, straightforward explanations of their features and construction, and aesthetic evaluations of the results. The book is dotted with the names of rock luminaries and peppered with photos - well over 100 black-and-white ones, plus a 32-page color section and a 32-page full-color appendix that reproduces all of the Marshall catalogues of the sixties.

  • Sales Rank: #842319 in Books
  • Brand: Hal Leonard
  • Published on: 1993-08-01
  • Released on: 1993-08-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 12.00" h x .70" w x 9.00" l, 2.01 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 256 pages

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Best reference book for Marshall Amps
By Gary Wells, Atlanta, GA.
If you own vintage Marshall Tube Amps or just thinking about buying a vintage Marshall Amp, buy this book. I disagree with other reviewers, this book is what-it-is, a reference book for vintage Marshall Amps made from 1962 to 1992. Who gives a crap about the Chicom Marshalls made from 2000 to present. I really like the section with all the glossy photos of all the vintage and obscure Marshall Amps that were made through out the years. There were some Marshall amps I had never even heard of before and I've played through all the good ones, 1971 Super Lead 100(4 input), 1978 JMP 2204 Master Volume, 1983 JCM800 2203 MkII, 1990 JCM900 2500 MkIII, and even a JCM2000 DSL100. I still own the JMP 2204 and the JCM900 2500 MkIII and will never sell them.

5 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
The History of Marshall
By Steven
Since there are no OTHER books out there dealing with the Marshall amplification history this one will just have to do..for now. Sporting no glossary, and with more pictures and poorly reproduced schematics than relevant tonal references, I found myself searching time and time again for some clue as to the legendary tonal qualities associated with the individual models. None were given really. I was hoping for some help in trying to select a new or vintage Marshall amp and I couldn't find it here. There is far MORE INFORMATION available on the internet than is compiled here in this book. Copyrighted in 1993 this book NEEDS TO BE UPDATED, it's now 15 years out of date. For $33.00 I could have done without this book..although I do like looking at the pictures.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Mr. J
A very informative book on the world's most famous guitar amplifier!!

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